A comparative analysis of the relationship between the risk of terrorism and the restrictions of the opposition in national elections
https://doi.org/10.31660/1993-1824-2022-4-67-88
Abstract
The article considers the issue of a comparative analysis of the relationship between the rise of terrorism and the existing restrictions on the opposition in national elections. It gives an analysis of the influence of the types of political regimes, limited and unrestricted types of elections, as well as various indicators of the stability of states and their socio-economic development. The author of the article uses descriptive statistics analysis and develops seven negative binomial regression models that take into account choices in more than 150 countries between 1970 and 2015. The result proves that the government's holding of unrestricted elections is associated with an increase in terrorist violence in non-democratic countries, but with a decrease in terrorism in democratic ones. At the same time, restricting the participation of opposition groups in elections is associated with a decrease in the level of terrorist violence in non-democracies, but with an increase in the level of terrorism in democracies. In general, the data obtained indicate a strong and significant relationship between the types of national elections and the risk of terrorism in countries with different political regimes.
About the Author
A. V. Novikov
Plekhanov Russian University of Economics
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Andrey V. Novikov
Department of Mathematical Methods in Economics
Moscow
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Review
For citations:
Novikov A.V. A comparative analysis of the relationship between the risk of terrorism and the restrictions of the opposition in national elections. Proceedings from higher educational institutions. Sociology. Economics. Politics. 2022;15(4):67-88. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.31660/1993-1824-2022-4-67-88
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